The Mind of Kenney Young

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Betting on sports ‘futures’ is an enjoyable and potentially profitable way to wager, but there are several potential risks that can lead to losses. Here’s a rundown of things to avoid:

Don’t bet at the first place you look: In other words, shop around for the best price. This is essential to all aspects of sports betting, but especially important with futures wagers. You’ll find more disparity between prices from book to book on futures than any other betting proposition. From a theoretical standpoint, a little work can yield much better value. From a practical standpoint, that means a higher payout should you win. The reason for this is that individual sportsbooks’ aren’t as worried about what the other guys are doing as they are with most other bets. Once the futures “market” is set books move the lines almost exclusively on their own financial position. The market simply doesn’t respond as quickly to futures wagers as it does to individual game lines so it is essential to do the extra work to get the best price on your proposition.

In a competitive field, don’t obsess with picking the winner: This may sound like a strange concept, but once you understand the theory behind it it makes perfect sense. In a large field–the NCAA basketball tournament is a perfect example–the top few favorites are invariably priced at odds that are less than the ‘true odds’ of them winning. On the other hand, there are always teams that fly ‘under the radar’ available at higher prices that present a betting overlay.

In more theoretical terms, the ‘true odds’ of a Duke or similar top team winning the tournament are almost always higher than the price offered. Think of it this way–say we’re betting Duke to win the national title at 2/1. This means that the Blue Devils would have to win more than 33% of the time to break even. So lets say, for the sake of argument, that we could play the tournament over 100 times. Would Duke come out on top more than 33 of these times? If not, they represent a poor value. Let’s say that they win 30 of 100 times. This means that any price under +333 or thereabouts is a poor wagering value.

Note that the more competitive the market, the more difficult it is to find good value on the favorites. Since you can make a case for quite a few teams to win the NCAA tournament at this point this particular futures market is clearly a very competitive one. In a less competitive marketplace it might be possible to “pick the winner” and have it be a good value though you will pay a price for this. Here’s a (thankfully) hypothetical example: let’s say the UFC decided to hold a one night round robin tournament with 5 competitors. Competitor #1 would be heavyweight champion Brock Lesnar. The other four competitors would be professional figure skaters Elvis Stojko, Rudy Gallindo, Brian Boitano and Evgeni Plushinko. Even if he didn’t bring his “A game”, Lesnar would be essentially have a 100% certainty of beating the four untrained fighters, who also happen to be rather effeminate. If a sportsbook installed Lesnar as a -1000 favorite a bet on the 63 265 pound takedown would still be theoretically a good value. It’s always difficult to risk so much to win a little, but from a strictly theoretical standpoint its a good play.

Don’t try to make a huge profit with little risk: Sports betting provides few opportunities to make a ‘big killing’. It may happen occasionally, but even the big payouts when it occurs doesn’t make chasing big longshots a good value. If you’re serious about sports betting it is crucial to maintain your focus on the underlying numbers and look for value at all times. If you want to take a longshot at a huge jackpot, play the lottery but don’t try to do it at a sportsbook.

Simply stated, the concept of value works the same at the bottom of the wagering ladder as it does at the top. Even if you’re betting a big underdog at a huge price make sure that it accurately reflects the ‘true odds’ of the event occurring.

Don’t bet one sided props: Sometimes sports books will offer silly bets just to get publicity or in some cases just to be funny. While there may be life on other planets, the ‘true odds’ of a Martian being named to President Obama’s cabinet wouldn’t justify a +5000 line that it would occur.

Ross Everett is a widely published freelance writer who covers travel, casino gambling and sports handicapping. He is a staff handicapper for Anatta Sports where he is responsible for providing daily free sports picks. In his spare time he enjoys fine dining, flower arranging and scuba diving. He lives in Southern Nevada with four dogs and a pet coyote.

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Athletes today are very gifted in their respective sports and are honed well as they grow old. What they fail to realize is that there is a mental aspect to sports as well. Because of this imbalance, athletes fail to control their emotions which may cause risks on their career as well as their personal lives. Read on to learn why some athletes experience emotional imbalances .

One reason why athletes are emotionally imbalanced is dysfunctional families. Sometimes these athletes may have grown uo in an atmosphere of cruelty and violence. They may have been growing up being beaten by their parents or step parents which they have been carrying within themselves until they grow up. At some point, these people will try to forget the past and concentrate on sports that’s why they have become athletes yet the fury within themselves is still existing which affect their emotional behaviors.

There is also the reason of a true psychiatric illness in the athlete. Athletes may have experienced psychological disorders namely depression, intermittent explosive, narcissistic personality disorder and other common illnesses during their early years. These kinds of psychological disorders can affect their emotions too which may become uncontrollable, dangerous and violent.

You also have abusive, illegal drugs and alcohols which causes an alteration of the emotional state of the athlete. Addicts to drugs and alcohol are very disruptive in their behavior and can become dangerous to those around them.

Greediness is also a cause of emotional imbalance. Athletes may lose themselves in their quest to become the greatest ever in their field or to become the richest. They will tend them to become unruly, unjust and aggressive because they let themselves feel greedy.

These are some of the common roots why athletes are becoming emotionally imbalanced. Emotionally imbalanced people are prone to outbursts that are uncontrollable and vindictive. You can usually see these in some athletes today.

Learn the different aspects of sports to help you succeed with this San Diego sports psychologist. His experience in dealing with many emotional issues as a family therapist San Diego can help.

Ford vehicles have invariably been synonymous with American pride and custom. One of the most important vehicle manufacturers today, the Ford brand is known all over the world and has been attached with a tag of sturdiness and quality. These are the same qualities it has saved thru the years and more than a century after the brand had been unveiled, a number of its autos from its early and mid productions still ply American streets, if not, vintage auto shows.

This doesn’t mean though that Ford just pumped out one vehicle after another leaving quality behind. To the contrary, because they were able to produce automobiles at a fast rate, they managed to concentrate entirely on their research and development which permitted them to come up with high standard vehicles.

This prime quality has permitted a number of their automobiles from the post 2nd world war era to still be street deserving today. Vintage Ford autos have numerous commotion from Ford loyalists and though a full working and new-like condition is pretty much impossible to find, many still invest their time, cash and efforts in restoring them.

Some of the more well-liked vintage autos by Ford produced in the fifties and the sixties where the Fairlane, Thunderbird, Falcon, Galaxie, Torino, LTD and of course, the Mustang. Many of these make and models were reminiscent of the muscle autos that ruled the American auto industry and market in that age. Big forceful engines and loud roaring were characteristic of these muscle cars and they were distinctively American.

Owning and maintaining vintage Ford autos, like the Mustang, today will entail some cost. This is because vintage Ford parts could be tough to come by. For some vehicles, the parts may be simpler to find due to the vast number of their production. Due to this, parts might be lifted from the other autos with the same make and model and they can be used to restore other cars.

This though takes time as you still have to go to junk yards. For a simpler time, you will just scour the web for these parts. Just make sure that you get the right ones.

You can never mess up with vintage Ford cars. They are an American practice and they can provide you with that certain distinction that makes folks turn their heads to have a look at the autos. As an owner of a fully restored vintage Ford car, this will surely make you proud.

Next, discover some pieces you will really want to find out about motorized wheelchair which you can access via the main website here at Motorized WheelChair Store resource.

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Now that you have moved to the country, you find yourself with new challenges. Not only that, but the job of taking care of it’s all yours.

When you currently have three, 4 or perhaps five acres, the walk-behind mower that used to do a fine job on your smaller suburban lot just isn’t going to slash it. In searching for a reply to this challenge, an increasing quantity of rustic householders have turned to a tool that lawn upkeep operatives have used for years : the highly maneuverable, highly productive zero-turn-radius mower. That’s why they are the single fastest growing gear segment in the outside power appliances industry. Many house owners see the zero-turn as a fast and good way to mow big grasslands. While massive commercial models offer masses of stability on hillsides, smaller home mowers are far more subject to drifting downhill when on an incline. In addition, the purchase of a zero-turn mower is an investment in a pure cutting machine.

If you’d like one machine that offers you the ability to blow snow, do blade work, pull a use cart, or perform a spread of other jobs, then a lawn tractor or garden tractor is going to be a far better option. Thanks to resourceful design and engineering from John Deere, you do not have to sacrifice the agility and maneuverability of a zero-turn mower for the suppleness and multiple purpose functionality of a lawn tractor. You’ll be able to find four-wheel steer on 2 models of Select Series Tractors.

These machines have been designed and built to perform a range of light- and professional quality roles for consumers who have bigger properties of at least seven acres with more landscape features and challenging terrain.

These tractors come in a variety of 17 to twenty-seven hp, both air- and liquid-cooled engines, depending on the model. Other features include a peerless mix of engine features and an exclusive hood design to deliver bigger dragging capacity and longer engine life. Wide-gauge wheels provide improved functionality on coarse ground and a four-point mount is more resistant to abuse and troublesome terrain.

Next, Weldon Duffy reveals some pieces you will really want to find out about Selling John Deere Tractors which you can access via the John Deere Tractors site.

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After losing the services of starting goalie Roberto Luongo for the indefinite future with a broken rib, the Canucks may have breathed a sigh of relief too soon after backup goalie Andrew Raycroft’s performance in his first game in relief. After an excellent effort in an overtime victory over Los Angeles, Raycroft was torched for four goals in two periods before being pulled from the game. The Canucks scored twice in the first five minutes of the game to lead 2-0 before giving up seven unanswered goals.

Anaheim has struggled to a 4-6-1 record this season, but rewarded their backers who chose to lay the -164 price as home favorites with the Ducks. The Canucks evened their record on the season at 7-7 with the loss. The 9 combined goals put on the board sailed OVER the posted total of 6.

The Ducks snapped a four game losing streak with the offensive outburst. Corey Perry and Bobby Ryan each tallied two goals and an assist in the lopsided victory. Mike Brown had the eventual game winning goal in the second period with his first career shorthanded marker, and even enforcer George Parros got in on the act with his first goal of the year. Jonas Hiller was sharp in goal for Anaheim, stopping 36 of 38 shots in the victory.

Vancouver’s problem this season has been not getting enough shots on goal and giving up too many. In the shootout victory over Los Angeles on Thursday, they were outshot 29-12 in regulation. They’d been kept in a number of games they should have lost due to the goaltending virtuosity of Luongo, and this game didn’t bode well for his absence. This was only the second time in eight games Vancouver has allowed more than two goals, a testimony to the ungodly skill of Luongo more than their defensive tenacity.

Raycroft is expected to be back between the pipes for Vancouver’s next game, a Sunday home date against the Colorado Avalanche. The Canucks will host the New York Rangers on Tuesday night before a road game against the Minnesota Wild on Thursday. Anaheim will play at Phoenix on Saturday night before returning to the Honda Center for the next two games. They’ll host the defending Stanley Cup champion Pittsburgh Penguins on Tuesday before welcoming the Nashville Predators to southern California later in the week.

Ross Everett is a freelance writer and highly respected authority on sports betting odds comparison. He writing has appeared on a variety of sports sites including sportsbooks and World Cup betting sites. He lives in Southern Nevada with three Jack Russell Terriers and a kangaroo. He is currently working on an autobiography of former interior secretary James Watt.

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